The current heat event happening across central and Eastern Canada has probably brought one thing to cottagers’ minds: how hot is this summer going to be? Or, how much time should I spend keeping cool in the lake?
To get the scoop on this year’s summer forecast, we talked to Environment Canada meteorologist Geoff Coulson. While Coulson reminds us things can always change, here is what to expect this summer.
British Columbia and Yukon
For July and August, British Columbia and Yukon can expect the summer to be seasonally warm, with slightly cooler temperatures occurring along the coast of British Columbia.
Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, and Nunavut
While May and June have been slightly cool and seasonal in these areas, Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, and Nunavut can expect to have a warmer-than-normal July and August.
Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Northwest Territories
Even though temperatures remained seasonal throughout June, heading into July and August, Coulson says above-average temperatures can be expected, but that it won’t be as warm as in Manitoba and other eastern provinces.
New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, and Prince Edward Island
Just like Manitoba, Ontario and Quebec, the Maritimes can expect summer temperatures to be above seasonal averages.
How rainy will the summer be?
Aside from the heat, precipitation plays an important factor in our time spent outdoors. How much rain will there be? (Or, more importantly, how many ruined dock days will we encounter?) Important questions! Unfortunately, Coulson says it’s too early to tell.
“Precipitation runs on more of a seven to 10 day forecast than a seasonal one, he says. “There are too many factors playing into it.” Coulson says air temperature, wind, and water temperature are just some of the factors considered.
While Coulson can’t provide us with an exact precipitation forecast, he adds that “everything so far is panning out to be seasonal.” To get a better sense of average precipitation volumes in your area, check out Environment Canada’s Climate Normals.
What about the wildfires?
“So far, across Canada, the fire season has started off milder than last year,” says Coulson. He adds that the more seasonal temperatures we’ve been seeing through June—and that are predicted for the West Coast later this summer—could be helping the wildfire situation.
Coulson says Environment Canada will continue to consult with local authorities on changing conditions and necessary precautions to keep everyone safe this wildfire season.
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